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notes from underground where 2+2=5 is also a beautiful thing notes from underground: depending on the outcome of rational actors? august 19, 2018 so much of social science is dependent on various actors making rational decisions. economics has regularly proven that “actors” certainly fail to act rationally as manias, crashes and panics in repeated form are proof (see charles kindleberger). in the realm of politics, the dependence on nation-states to behave rationally has led to many major policy errors. during the cold war the balance of nuclear weapons prompted both super powers to remain reticent to embark on direct confrontations and avoid an unthinkable shooting war. the fear of world destruction also meant that the ussr and united states would leash their “allies” to prevent any direct conflict between the two major hegemonists. read the rest of this entry » tags: china , erdogan , foreign exchange controls , imf , merkel , putin , russia , trade war , turkey , yuan posted in china , currency , turkey | 2 comments » notes from underground: will he or won’t he? (only his son-in-law knows) august 14, 2018 on monday, rick santelli and i unpacked a great deal in the few minutes we were allotted on cnbc. the turkish story remains a key to the global financial markets. the u.s. equity markets interpreted that as all-clear, and the narrative of a dynamic u.s. growth story sustains itself. (click on the image to watch me and rick talk turkey.) read the rest of this entry » tags: capital controls , president erdogan , turkey , turkish lira , u.s. equity markets posted in currency , equity , turkey | 17 comments » notes from underground: the world is talking turkey august 12, 2018 for a long time now, we at notes from underground have been discussing the danger of turkish president erdogan in his role as a potential disruptor to stability in the middle east. last week’s violent action in turkey’s stock and currency markets is just one element of the instability for which erdogan can be held responsible. read the rest of this entry » tags: ecb , erdogan , kurds , mario draghi , middle east , nato , turkey , turkish lira , u.s. dollar posted in debt market , turkey | 7 comments » notes from underground: in light of declining volume and volatility … a repost august 7, 2018 the markets remain locked into the latest tweet from either politicians or ceos. whether it’s about tariffs or taking a company private, the twittersphere has the ability to move markets for a nanosecond. regardless of the algos and the continued march of passive investing notes from underground believes that hyman minsky has entered the room. a minsky moment occurs when complacency leads to increased risk-taking while using increasing leverage. it is not market valuations that disrupts markets but rather the amount of debt that needs to be serviced. can future cash flows ensure that the vast amount of debt can be managed? leverage is a great aphrodisiac but if priapism results the exit strategy can elicit great pain. the markets are built on record debt. read the rest of this entry » tags: china , debt , emerging markets , fed , pboc , yuan posted in debt market | 20 comments » notes from underground: chairman powell, ask the wizard for some courage august 1, 2018 the fomc issued a very bland statement on wednesday after its two-day meeting. why did they bother convening for two days to deliver a policy statement that they phoned in last month. in my opinion, jerome powell missed a perfect opportunity to flex the fed ‘s independent muscles by not raising rates . the recent gdp data, inflation measures and robust jobs market provided ample evidence that the market is in need of another interest rate hike. read the rest of this entry » tags: chairman powell , fed , fomc , u.s. dollar posted in fed | 17 comments » notes from underground: central bank palooza july 30, 2018 coming on the heels of my first kenny chesney concert i am viewing the synchronicity of central banks as a reflection of the rhythms of global financial repression. last thursday, the ecb issued its last statement before the summer recess, while this week we have the bank of japan tonight, the fed on wednesday and the bank of england on thursday. read the rest of this entry » tags: boe , boj , british pound , draghi , ecb , euro , fed , fomc , japanese yen , kuroda , powell , u.s. treasuries posted in central banks | 9 comments » notes from underground: areas of global macro concern july 24, 2018 president donald trump’s continuous tweeting creates volatility in the markets but the impact lessens as participants become hardened to the vagaries of the tweets. an area that does concern me, though, is the amount of insider trading i suspect is taking place. read the rest of this entry » tags: boj , ecb , farm subsidies , fed , iran , japanese yen , jerome powell , jgbs , mario draghi , middle east , nikkei , president trump , russia , syria , tariffs , u.s. dollar posted in boj , currency , debt market , ecb , fed , trade , united states | 26 comments » notes from underground: the sins of wages july 17, 2018 tuesday was the first round of the federal reserve chairman jerome powell’s semi-annual testimony to congress. the senate banking committee questioned powell about recent fed decisions and looked for some guidance as to how the fomc viewed the current state of the domestic and global economy. there were many questions about the impact on the economy from the trump tariffs, which the fed chairman adroitly evaded and put the onus on congress, where it rightly belongs. read the rest of this entry » tags: federal reserve , humphrey hawkins , inflation , interest rates , jerome powell , senate , tariffs , wage growth posted in fed , united states | 30 comments » notes from underground: july 16, 2018 on july 11, i discussed many of the current issues confronting the financial markets with fra’s richard bonugli and peter boockvar of the bleakley group. these podcasts are an important way for me to communicate with some of the brightest minds in the global financial world. it allows me to express ideas and have true discourse to help clarify ideas for the readership of notes from underground . pour your favorite libation and drink deep from the efforts of some of the best minds in the financial industry. read the rest of this entry » tags: podcast , russia , tariffs , yield curve posted in podcast | 7 comments » notes from underground: the summer doldrums july 10, 2018 there are storms brewing but for the moment markets are stuck in the doldrums waiting for the winds to increase in velocity. the issues confronting the market are all too familiar as notes from underground has been categorizing for the previous months. read the rest of this entry » tags: china , copper , emerging markets , nato summit , russia , tariffs , u.s. yield curves posted in china , copper , debt market , fed , russia , united states | 20 comments » « older entries search: email subscription enter your email address to subscribe to this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email. join 4,074 other followers add to your reader rss - posts recent posts notes from underground: depending on the outcome of rational actors? notes from underground: will he or won’t he? (only his son-in-law knows) notes from underground: the world is talking turkey blog archives august 2018 s m t w t f s « jul 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 abe angela merkel aussie dollar ben bernanke bernanke boc boe boj bonds brazil brexit british pound bundesbank bunds canada china christine lagarde cnbc dax debt dollar draghi ecb efsf equities eu eur/chf euro europe fed fomc france g-20 gdp germany gold greece imf inflation italy janet yellen japan japanese yen jens weidmann kiwi kuroda loonie ltro mario draghi mark carney mbs merkel nonfarm payrolls obama piigs portfolio balance channel portugal pound qe qe2 rba rbnz russia s&p

URL analysis for yragharris.com

https://yragharris.com/tag/trade-war/
https://yragharris.com/category/countries/united-states/
https://yragharris.com/tag/bernanke/
https://yragharris.com/tag/copper/
https://yragharris.com/tag/syria/
https://yragharris.com/tag/u-s-equity-markets/
https://yragharris.com/tag/president-trump/
https://yragharris.com/2018/07/17/sins/#comments
https://yragharris.com/2018/08/07/decline/#comments
https://yragharris.com/2018/07/16/notes-from-underground/#comments
https://yragharris.com/tag/bonds/
https://yragharris.com/tag/merkel/
https://yragharris.com/2018/08/14/knows/#more-3677
https://yragharris.com/tag/ben-bernanke/
https://yragharris.com/2018/08/14/

Whois Information

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Domain Name: YRAGHARRIS.COM
Registry Domain ID: 1776442172_DOMAIN_COM-VRSN
Registrar WHOIS Server: whois.wildwestdomains.com
Registrar URL: http://www.wildwestdomains.com
Updated Date: 2017-12-27T10:35:36Z
Creation Date: 2013-01-26T23:39:16Z
Registry Expiry Date: 2019-01-26T23:39:16Z
Registrar: Wild West Domains, LLC
Registrar IANA ID: 440
Registrar Abuse Contact Email: [email protected]
Registrar Abuse Contact Phone: 480-624-2505
Domain Status: clientDeleteProhibited https://icann.org/epp#clientDeleteProhibited
Domain Status: clientRenewProhibited https://icann.org/epp#clientRenewProhibited
Domain Status: clientTransferProhibited https://icann.org/epp#clientTransferProhibited
Domain Status: clientUpdateProhibited https://icann.org/epp#clientUpdateProhibited
Name Server: NS1.WORDPRESS.COM
Name Server: NS2.WORDPRESS.COM
DNSSEC: unsigned
URL of the ICANN Whois Inaccuracy Complaint Form: https://www.icann.org/wicf/
>>> Last update of whois database: 2018-12-08T05:06:28Z <<<

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  REGISTRAR Wild West Domains, LLC

SERVERS

  SERVER com.whois-servers.net

  ARGS domain =yragharris.com

  PORT 43

  TYPE domain

DOMAIN

  NAME yragharris.com

  CHANGED 2017-12-27

  CREATED 2013-01-26

STATUS
clientDeleteProhibited https://icann.org/epp#clientDeleteProhibited
clientRenewProhibited https://icann.org/epp#clientRenewProhibited
clientTransferProhibited https://icann.org/epp#clientTransferProhibited
clientUpdateProhibited https://icann.org/epp#clientUpdateProhibited

NSERVER

  NS1.WORDPRESS.COM 198.181.116.9

  NS2.WORDPRESS.COM 198.181.117.9

  REGISTERED yes

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